Vissel Kobevs
Machida Zelvia
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/24/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Original prediction
Machida Zelvia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 39.1% | 29.8% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 29.2% | 25.5% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 31.8% | 44.7% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Machida Zelvia
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00