GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vissel Kobe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Vissel Kobe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vissel Kobe hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the J1 League, while Vissel Kobe holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vissel Kobe

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

12.7%

Vissel Kobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vissel KobeDWWDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Cerezo OsakaLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vissel KobeCerezo Osaka
50.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power42.7
1.70xG1.04
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