Vis Pesarovs
Reggiana
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vis Pesaro 0-0 Reggiana, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vis Pesaro 1-4 Reggiana
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.98 | 22.8% | 35.8% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 29.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 51.4% | 34.4% | -17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
Vis Pesaro 0–0 Reggiana
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vis PesaroLLLDL
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ReggianaDWWDL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Vis PesaroReggiana
38.6Attack50.0
70.2Defence50.0
50.9Form50.0
54.7Power50.0
1.10xG0.71