Vis Pesarovs
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 9/27/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vis Pesaro 0-0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vis Pesaro 2-1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.44 | 26.2% | 36.1% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.9% | 33.0% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 44.9% | 31.0% | -13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Projected Score
Vis Pesaro 0–0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.0%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00