Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 30 June 2026Last updated 10:05
Virtus

Virtus

Home
WL
23
Full time
Vardar Skopje

Vardar Skopje

Away
WL
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Vardar Skopje33%
Virtus33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Vardar Skopje
Win probability
Virtus
33%
Draw
33%
Vardar Skopje
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Virtus
34
Vardar Skopje
54
Defence
Virtus
46
Vardar Skopje
27
Momentum
Virtus
50
Vardar Skopje
50
Danger (xG)
Virtus
0.90
Vardar Skopje
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Virtus)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Vardar Skopje)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Virtus)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Vardar Skopje)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
VirtusVirtus
WLLWL
Vardar SkopjeVardar Skopje
WLWW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Virtus33%
Draw33%
Vardar Skopje33%

Vardar Skopje leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Virtus head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (WL), while Vardar Skopje arrive in mixed form (WL). Virtus have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Vardar Skopje over 2 games.

The model rates Virtus's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Vardar Skopje defence, and Vardar Skopje's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 Virtus backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Virtus have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Vardar Skopje have been excellent on the road, winning all 3 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Vardar Skopje have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Virtus to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Virtus 3333%, Draw 3333%, Vardar Skopje 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Virtus 0Draws 01 Vardar Skopje
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
30 Jun 2026
Virtus
L23
Vardar Skopje

Recent form

Virtus

Virtus

W
vs Dila
16 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Dila
9 Jul 2026
13
L
vs Vardar Skopje
30 Jun 2026
23
W
vs La Fiorita
16 May 2026
21
L
@ Domagnano
12 May 2026
12
Vardar Skopje

Vardar Skopje

W
@ KuPS
14 Jul 2026
32
L
vs KuPS
7 Jul 2026
02
W
@ Virtus
30 Jun 2026
32
W
@ Struga
15 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Virtus vs Vardar Skopje?

GoalVio's model predicts Virtus to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Virtus vs Vardar Skopje?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Virtus vs Vardar Skopje?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Virtus vs Vardar Skopje?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more