Virtus Veronavs
Triestina
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie C · 10/3/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Virtus Verona are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Triestina are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80