GGOALVIO

Italy · Coppa Italia Serie C · 10/3/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Virtus Verona are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Triestina are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Virtus VeronaDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TriestinaWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Virtus VeronaTriestina
0.0Attack55.6
66.7Defence77.8
0.0Form66.7
23.7Power65.1
1.06xG1.42
View match centre →