GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/2/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Virtus Verona are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Triestina are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Virtus VeronaDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TriestinaLWDWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Virtus VeronaTriestina
30.7Attack53.5
62.3Defence61.4
41.2Form56.1
46.5Power58.1
0.73xG1.14
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