GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/1/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Virtus Verona are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Padova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Virtus VeronaWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
PadovaDWDWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Virtus VeronaPadova
30.7Attack48.2
62.3Defence75.4
41.2Form67.5
46.5Power64.8
0.46xG1.05
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