GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/29/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Virtus Verona are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Novara are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.5 against 45.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Virtus VeronaLDWWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NovaraDLLLD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Virtus VeronaNovara
30.7Attack34.2
62.3Defence57.0
41.2Form37.7
46.5Power45.4
0.85xG0.70
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