GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/28/2023, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Virtus Verona are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Mantova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Virtus VeronaWWLWL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
MantovaWWDWL

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Virtus VeronaMantova
30.7Attack63.2
62.3Defence72.8
41.2Form70.2
46.5Power68.8
0.50xG1.39
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