GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/18/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Virtus Verona are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lumezzane are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Virtus VeronaLWLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
LumezzaneDWWLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Virtus VeronaLumezzane
30.7Attack43.0
62.3Defence57.9
41.2Form46.5
46.5Power50.8
0.82xG0.90
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