GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/20/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Virtus Verona · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Virtus Verona are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Virtus Verona hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Virtus Verona holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Virtus Verona

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

Virtus Verona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Virtus VeronaLWLDL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
FiorenzuolaLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Virtus VeronaFiorenzuola
30.7Attack33.3
62.3Defence45.6
41.2Form33.3
46.5Power39.9
1.09xG0.68
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