GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 1/6/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Virtus Verona are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Virtus VeronaDWLLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atalanta IIDWLWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Virtus VeronaAtalanta II
30.7Attack37.7
62.3Defence68.4
41.2Form51.8
46.5Power54.4
0.61xG0.80
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