GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/10/2023, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Virtus Verona are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alessandria are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Virtus Verona hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Virtus VeronaWWLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AlessandriaDLWL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Virtus VeronaAlessandria
30.7Attack17.5
62.3Defence57.9
41.2Form20.2
46.5Power34.3
0.86xG0.48
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