VirkiävsJS Hercules

Virkiä are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 5.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JS Hercules are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and JS Hercules hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.5% in the Suomen Cup, while Virkiä holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.