Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vipers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vipers 2-0 Police, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vipers 0-0 Police
Original prediction
Vipers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 80.3% | 68.4% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.21 | 14.4% | 19.6% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 17.01 | 5.3% | 12.0% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.9 pts
Projected Score
Vipers 2–0 Police
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Vipers
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
68.4%
Vipers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VipersWDWWD
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
PoliceLLWDL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
VipersPolice
86.7Attack22.2
86.7Defence44.4
66.7Form38.9
75.4Power37.5
2.03xG0.51