Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vipers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vipers 1-1 Maroons
Original prediction
Vipers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 72.5% | 51.8% | -20.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.72 | 18.9% | 25.7% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 10.42 | 8.6% | 22.5% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Vipers
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Vipers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VipersWWLWW
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
MaroonsWLLWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VipersMaroons
77.8Attack53.3
88.9Defence60.0
66.7Form40.0
74.0Power50.8
1.45xG0.91