Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vindbjart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vindbjart 2-0 Hinna
Original prediction
Vindbjart
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 76.3% | 48.9% | -27.3 pts |
| Draw | 6.57 | 13.9% | 21.9% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 9.23 | 9.9% | 29.1% | 19.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Vindbjart
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Vindbjart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VindbjartWWLWL
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
HinnaWLWDL
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
VindbjartHinna
74.4Attack100.0
37.2Defence33.3
48.7Form100.0
53.4Power80.3
2.77xG2.52