Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vindbjart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vindbjart 1-2 Flekkerøy
Original prediction
Vindbjart
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.0% | 49.4% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 21.0% | 23.4% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 24.0% | 27.2% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Vindbjart
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Vindbjart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VindbjartWLLLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FlekkerøyWDLLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VindbjartFlekkerøy
83.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
56.2Power23.7
2.85xG1.79