Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vimenor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vimenor 3-0 Solares
Original prediction
Vimenor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.4% | 42.8% | -13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.6% | 27.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.03 | 18.0% | 29.3% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Vimenor
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Vimenor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VimenorWLLDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SolaresDDDWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VimenorSolares
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24