Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vilzing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vilzing are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bayreuth are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vilzing hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (85.2 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Vilzing holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vilzing
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Vilzing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20