Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vilzing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Vilzing are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ammerthal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vilzing hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (70.0 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Vilzing holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vilzing
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Vilzing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80