Villefranchevs
Versailles
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/26/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Versailles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Villefranche 1-2 Versailles
Original prediction
Versailles
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 28.7% | 28.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.6% | 28.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.7% | 43.1% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Versailles
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Versailles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60