Villefranchevs
Rouen
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/29/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rouen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Villefranche 0-2 Rouen
Original prediction
Rouen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.7% | 29.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.5% | 28.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.9% | 42.5% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Rouen
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Rouen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VillefrancheLWLLD
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RouenWWDWW
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
VillefrancheRouen
44.4Attack55.6
44.4Defence88.9
33.3Form77.8
42.2Power74.7
1.02xG1.41