Villefranchevs
La Roche VF
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/12/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
La Roche VF · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Villefranche 0-0 La Roche VF
Original prediction
La Roche VF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 28.0% | 22.9% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.1% | 25.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 43.9% | 51.3% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
La Roche VF
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
La Roche VF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80