Villefranchevs
Cholet
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/18/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Villefranche · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Villefranche are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cholet are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cholet hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Ligue 3, while Villefranche holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Villefranche
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Villefranche has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00