La LigaLa Liga
Wednesday, 13 May 2026Last updated 14:59
Villarreal

Villarreal

Home
L
23
Full time
Sevilla

Sevilla

Away
W
Estadio de la Ceramica
GoalVio prediction
64% confidence
Villarreal(64%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Prediction missed— Result: Sevilla
Win probability
Villarreal
64%
Draw
20%
Sevilla
16%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Villarreal
9
Sevilla
94
Defence
Villarreal
27
Sevilla
27
Momentum
Villarreal
0
Sevilla
100
Danger (xG)
Villarreal
0.00
Sevilla
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Villarreal)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Sevilla)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Villarreal)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Sevilla)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
VillarrealVillarreal
LL
SevillaSevilla
W

Probability breakdown

64% confidence
Villarreal64%
Draw20%
Sevilla16%

Villarreal leads with 64% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Villarreal head into this in La Liga fixture at Estadio de la Ceramica in mixed form (L), while Sevilla arrive in mixed form (W). Villarreal have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Sevilla over 1 games.

Tactically, Sevilla hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Villarreal defence (27/100), while Villarreal's attack faces a vulnerable Sevilla backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Villarreal have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Sevilla have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Sevilla have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Villarreal to win with 64% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Villarreal 6410%, Draw 1960%, Sevilla 1620%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Villarreal 0Draws 01 Sevilla
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
13 May 2026
Villarreal
L23
Sevilla

Recent form

Villarreal

Villarreal

L
@ Benfica
17 Jul 2026
02
L
vs Sevilla
13 May 2026
23
Sevilla

Sevilla

W
@ Villarreal
13 May 2026
32

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Villarreal vs Sevilla?

GoalVio's model predicts Villarreal to win with 64% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Sevilla?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Sevilla?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Villarreal vs Sevilla?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more