GGOALVIO

Villarreal logoVillarrealvsRennes logoRennes

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/5/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rennes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Villarreal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rennes are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rennes hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rennes holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rennes

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Rennes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VillarrealDLDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RennesWDWDD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VillarrealRennes
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence54.2
66.7Form62.5
57.9Power61.2
1.48xG1.73
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