GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Villarreal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Villarreal are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Panathinaikos are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Villarreal hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Villarreal holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Villarreal

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Villarreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VillarrealWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
PanathinaikosLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VillarrealPanathinaikos
50.0Attack38.9
50.0Defence44.4
66.7Form22.2
57.9Power37.2
1.82xG1.08
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