Villarrealvs
Panathinaikos
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Villarreal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Villarreal are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Panathinaikos are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Villarreal hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Villarreal holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Villarreal
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Villarreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20