GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/6/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Villarreal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Villarreal are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Maccabi Haifa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Villarreal hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Villarreal holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Villarreal

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

52.7%

Villarreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VillarrealDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Maccabi HaifaWLWLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VillarrealMaccabi Haifa
50.0Attack16.7
50.0Defence50.0
66.7Form27.8
57.9Power34.7
1.71xG0.90
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