Villarreal U19vs
Napoli U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Villarreal U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Villarreal U19 5-0 Napoli U19
Original prediction
Villarreal U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 66.8% | 52.8% | -14.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.94 | 18.2% | 23.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 5.96 | 15.1% | 23.9% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Villarreal U19
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Villarreal U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00