Villarreal IIvs
Teruel
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/17/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Villarreal II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Villarreal II 2-0 Teruel
Original prediction
Villarreal II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 69.3% | 67.4% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.75 | 19.4% | 19.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 8.13 | 11.3% | 13.3% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Villarreal II
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
67.4%
Villarreal II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60