Villarreal IIvs
Antequera
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/19/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Villarreal II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Villarreal II 1-0 Antequera, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Villarreal II 2-2 Antequera
Original prediction
Villarreal II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.5% | 52.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.4% | 27.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.30 | 21.1% | 19.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Projected Score
Villarreal II 1–0 Antequera
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Villarreal II
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Villarreal II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60