Villanovensevs
Azuaga
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Villanovense 0-0 Azuaga, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Villanovense 2-0 Azuaga
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.1% | 33.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 31.0% | 31.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.9% | 35.4% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Villanovense 0–0 Azuaga
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.6%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VillanovenseDWLLW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AzuagaWWLD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.75/1.00
BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
VillanovenseAzuaga
50.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence100.0
66.7Form100.0
68.0Power98.0
0.85xG0.91