Villalbésvs
Estradense
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Villalbés 0-0 Estradense, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Villalbés 1-2 Estradense
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.0% | 35.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.0% | 32.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 31.9% | 31.5% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Villalbés 0–0 Estradense
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.6%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VillalbésLWLDD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
EstradenseLLWLW
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VillalbésEstradense
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
0.81xG0.69