Villa San Carlosvs
Villa Dalmine
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Villa San Carlos 0-0 Villa Dalmine, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Villa San Carlos 3-0 Villa Dalmine
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 29.8% | 27.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.74 | 33.0% | 35.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.1% | 37.6% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Villa San Carlos 0–0 Villa Dalmine
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40