Villa San Carlosvs
Arsenal Sarandi
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal Sarandi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Villa San Carlos 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Villa San Carlos 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi
Original prediction
Arsenal Sarandi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 25.9% | 20.9% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.7% | 33.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.4% | 46.1% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Villa San Carlos 0–0 Arsenal Sarandi
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal Sarandi
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Arsenal Sarandi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40