GGOALVIO

Brazil · Mineiro - 2 · 6/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Villa Nova · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Villa Nova are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ipatinga are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Nova hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 15.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.4% in the Mineiro - 2, while Villa Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Villa Nova

Probability

80.4%

Model confidence

80.4%

Villa Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Villa NovaLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IpatingaWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Villa NovaIpatinga
51.1Attack20.0
62.2Defence0.0
48.9Form13.3
54.5Power15.9
2.58xG0.44
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