GGOALVIO

Brazil · Mineiro - 2 · 8/12/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Democrata SL · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Villa Nova are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Democrata SL are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Democrata SL hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 69.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Mineiro - 2, while Democrata SL holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Democrata SL

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Democrata SL has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Villa NovaDWWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Democrata SLWWWWD

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Villa NovaDemocrata SL
51.1Attack68.9
62.2Defence68.9
48.9Form71.1
54.5Power69.5
0.98xG1.50
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