Villa NovavsDemocrata SL

Villa Nova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Democrata SL are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Democrata SL hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 69.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Mineiro - 2, while Democrata SL holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.