GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Villa Mitre are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Santamarina are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Mitre hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Villa MitreLWLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SantamarinaWDLDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Villa MitreSantamarina
28.1Attack17.5
80.7Defence57.9
47.4Form22.8
53.8Power34.7
0.81xG0.26
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