Villa MitrevsKimberley Mar del Plata

COMPLETED

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Villa Mitre 0-0 Kimberley Mar del Plata, with an exact score probability of 45%.

Final result

Villa Mitre 0-0 Kimberley Mar del Plata

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.72	52.2%	33.0%	-19.2 pts
Draw	2.96	30.3%	41.4%	11.1 pts
Away	5.11	17.5%	25.6%	8.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.96 · Draw 1.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.1 pts

Projected Score

Villa Mitre 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata

Exact score probability: 45%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Villa MitreLWDDL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5

Kimberley Mar del PlataDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5

Villa MitreKimberley Mar del Plata

27.5Attack33.3

82.6Defence78.3

46.4Form52.2

53.6Power56.4

0.40xG0.42