GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Villa Mitre are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alvarado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

39.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Villa MitreDWDWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlvaradoWDWLW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Villa MitreAlvarado
29.6Attack41.2
83.3Defence86.3
50.0Form58.8
56.1Power62.1
0.42xG0.52
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