Villa MitrevsAlvarado

Villa Mitre are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Alvarado are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.