Villa DalminevsSportivo Italiano

Villa Dalmine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sportivo Italiano are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Dalmine hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (61.4 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.