Villa Dalminevs
San Martín Burzaco
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/24/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Villa Dalmine · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Villa Dalmine 0-0 San Martín Burzaco, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Villa Dalmine 1-0 San Martín Burzaco
Original prediction
Villa Dalmine
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.2% | 47.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.7% | 33.8% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 4.48 | 20.0% | 18.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Projected Score
Villa Dalmine 0–0 San Martín Burzaco
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Villa Dalmine
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Villa Dalmine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80