Villa Dalminevs
Ituzaingó
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Villa Dalmine · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Villa Dalmine 1-0 Ituzaingó, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Villa Dalmine 3-1 Ituzaingó
Original prediction
Villa Dalmine
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.5% | 55.0% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.2% | 28.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 6.71 | 13.4% | 16.5% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Projected Score
Villa Dalmine 1–0 Ituzaingó
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Villa Dalmine
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Villa Dalmine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60