Villa DalminevsDeportivo Merlo

Villa Dalmine are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Merlo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Dalmine hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (61.4 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.8% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Villa Dalmine holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.