Villa Dalminevs
Arsenal Sarandi
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Villa Dalmine 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
Villa Dalmine 0-1 Arsenal Sarandi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.1% | 32.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.71 | 33.1% | 36.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 29.9% | 31.4% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Projected Score
Villa Dalmine 0–0 Arsenal Sarandi
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Villa DalmineDDWWL
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Arsenal SarandiWWDLD
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Villa DalmineArsenal Sarandi
35.4Attack44.4
83.8Defence77.8
60.6Form60.6
61.9Power62.0
0.51xG0.54