Vilaverdensevs
Oliveirense
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 8/20/2023, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oliveirense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Vilaverdense are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Oliveirense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oliveirense hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (35.8 v 41.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Segunda Liga, while Oliveirense holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oliveirense
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Oliveirense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20